Case Study · Callaway · Topgolf · TaylorMade · Golf Industry · 2016 – 2022

The Sport
Everyone Said
Was Dying

When Nike exited golf in 2016, the consensus was that the sport was in terminal decline. I didn't buy it. I called Callaway as the primary beneficiary the same day Nike announced its exit, built exclusive access to the CEO, and published the quote that predicted a $2.6B acquisition two years before it happened. Golf didn't die. It reinvented itself.

Callaway Golf Topgolf Chip Brewer — Exclusive Robert Julian — Exclusive David Abeles — Exclusive $2.6B Acquisition Record Participation 2020–21
Reporter's Note

How this story started

In August 2016, Nike announced it was getting out of the golf equipment business. The narrative that followed was almost uniformly negative: golf was dying, millennials weren't playing, course closures were mounting. The industry was in its worst stretch in decades.

I disagreed. I published same-day analysis calling Callaway as the primary beneficiary — they would inherit Nike's retail shelf space, retail relationships, and consumer attention at the exact moment the market was beginning a reset. Callaway stock moved sharply in the days that followed.

Over the next three years, I built exclusive access to CEO Chip Brewer and CFO Robert Julian at Callaway. I covered the emerging Topgolf story when it was still privately held. I covered TaylorMade's recovery with an exclusive interview with CEO David Abeles, who pushed back directly on the doom-and-gloom narrative — a piece that was later cited in MyGolfSpy and syndicated to Yahoo Finance.

In March 2019, Chip Brewer told me on the record that Topgolf was "not likely to stay private forever." I published it. Two years and seven months later, Callaway acquired Topgolf for $2.6 billion — the largest deal in golf industry history.

And then COVID-19 happened. Golf became the ideal social-distancing sport. Rounds played hit record levels. Equipment sales broke industry records. Every pessimist who had called the sport dead was proven wrong. The thesis I had been writing since 2016 played out exactly as the data suggested it would.

Timeline
Date
Event
August 2016
Hershman · Benzinga
Published · Benzinga
"Nike Exits Golf Equipment — Who Benefits?"
Nike announces it is exiting the golf equipment business. I publish same-day analysis calling Callaway as the primary beneficiary — they would inherit Nike's retail shelf space, retail relationships, and consumer attention at the exact moment the equipment market is beginning its recovery. Callaway stock rises sharply in the days that follow.
2016 – 2018
Industry Context
Industry Narrative
The Golf Death Narrative Reaches Peak Pessimism
Course closures. Equipment sales slumping. Millennials not playing. The mainstream golf coverage is uniformly bearish. I keep reporting on the structural forces that the pessimists are missing: equipment technology improving, Topgolf driving new participation, Tiger Woods on the comeback trail. I don't buy the death narrative.
January 2019
Hershman · Benzinga
Exclusive · Benzinga
"Golf Equipment Sales Finally On The Upswing — What's Behind The Comeback?"
I interview TaylorMade CEO David Abeles as the golf equipment industry begins its recovery. Abeles pushes back directly on years of doom-and-gloom: the industry had reset, not collapsed. Tiger's return was accelerating it. I also speak with CFO Robert Julian, who is equally direct that the demise of golf has been overplayed. The piece is later cited in MyGolfSpy and syndicated to Yahoo Finance.
"A lot of the pessimism regarding golf was not fact-based. There is no doubt there were course and retail closures, but we have strong footing foundationally." — David Abeles, TaylorMade CEO
Read on Benzinga → (cited in MyGolfSpy · syndicated to Yahoo Finance)
March 2019
Hershman · Benzinga
Exclusive · Benzinga
"Exclusive: Callaway Golf CEO Talks Epic Flash Driver And How AI Will Change The Industry"
I secure exclusive access to Callaway CEO Chip Brewer ahead of earnings. The Epic Flash Driver is the first golf club ever designed by artificial intelligence. Brewer tells me the AI application will expand across the entire product line. This is 2019 — two years before "AI" becomes the dominant tech conversation. The same thread I'd been pulling since Adidas's Futurecraft 4D in 2017: technology redesigning physical products across every sport.
"The Epic Flash driver with its use of AI will set the stage for further changes and innovations as we apply AI to different parts of our product range." — Chip Brewer, Callaway CEO
Read on Benzinga →
March 2019
Hershman · Benzinga
The Quote · Benzinga
"Exclusive: Callaway CEO Says Topgolf 'Not Likely To Stay Private Forever'"
In the same interview session with Chip Brewer, I press him directly on Topgolf's future. Callaway owns a significant stake in the entertainment golf company. Brewer tells me on the record that Topgolf is not likely to stay private forever. I publish the quote. Two years and seven months later, Callaway acquires Topgolf outright for $2.6 billion — the largest deal in golf industry history.
"I don't think Topgolf is likely to stay private forever." — Chip Brewer, March 2019
Read on Benzinga →
2020 – 2021
Vindication
Thesis Confirmed
Golf Hits Record Participation Numbers During the Pandemic
COVID-19 makes golf the ideal social-distancing sport. Rounds played surge to record levels. Equipment sales break industry records. Every pessimist who called the sport dead is proven wrong. The thesis I had been writing since 2016 — that golf's fundamentals were misread — plays out exactly as the data suggested it would.
October 2021
$2.6B Deal Closes
$2.6B Acquisition
Callaway Acquires Topgolf for $2.6 Billion — The Quote Lands
Callaway completes its acquisition of Topgolf — the largest deal in golf industry history. The quote Chip Brewer gave me in March 2019 is now a matter of public record. I had it two years and seven months before anyone else. The arc that started with Nike exiting golf in 2016 closes here: the sport didn't die. It reinvented itself. And I was there for every step.
Selected Work

The pieces from this arc

Benzinga
August 2016

"Nike Exits Golf Equipment — Who Benefits?"

Called Callaway as the primary beneficiary the day Nike announced its exit. Same-day analysis that proved correct as Callaway stock moved sharply.

Benzinga
January 2019

"Golf Equipment Sales Finally On The Upswing — What's Behind The Comeback?"

Exclusive with TaylorMade CEO David Abeles and CFO Robert Julian. Cited in MyGolfSpy. Syndicated to Yahoo Finance.

Read on Benzinga →
Benzinga
March 2019

"Exclusive: Callaway Golf CEO Talks Epic Flash Driver And How AI Will Change The Industry"

First exclusive with Chip Brewer. AI-designed golf clubs two years before "AI" was mainstream.

Read on Benzinga →
Benzinga
March 2019

"Exclusive: Callaway CEO Says Topgolf 'Not Likely To Stay Private Forever'"

The quote that called a $2.6B acquisition two years before it happened. Published and on record.

Read on Benzinga →
Golf.com
May 2, 2025

"This War-Weary Nation's Only Golf Course Is Short on Yards — But Long on Charm"

A feature on Ararat Valley Golf Club in Armenia — the golf story and the geopolitics story converging in one place.

Read on Golf.com →
Benzinga — Cited in MyGolfSpy
January 2019

Cited in MyGolfSpy — Syndicated to Yahoo Finance

The TaylorMade comeback piece picked up nationally. The golf death narrative was wrong. The data proved it. The coverage reflected it.